Rot-Weiss Essen II vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
KLE
0 - 2
ESS
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ESS
4 - 4
VEL
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
WHE
3 - 0
ESS
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ESS
2 - 1
GEW
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 1
ESS
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MSV
5 - 1
HAM
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
KLE
2 - 0
MSV
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 2
WIE
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 3
MSV
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
MSV
5 - 1
WAT
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |