Rot-Weiss Essen II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ABI
0 - 3
ESS
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
SWE
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
MSV
36%
23%
42%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
KLE
0 - 2
ESS
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ESS
4 - 4
VEL
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
KÖL
3 - 1
KLE
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 4
KÖL
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 4
WHE
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GEW
3 - 2
KÖL
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 4
AAA
70%
18%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |