Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
13º
12º
41
6º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 58 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 55 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 54 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 54 |
8º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 52 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 49 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
|
13º
|
42 | 48 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 47 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 47 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 43 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 42 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 36 |
17º
|
93.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 29 |
18º
|
91% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 15 |
19º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 0
ASC
26%
23%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
TVC
2 - 2
RWA
19%
19%
62%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
RWA
6 - 3
TUS
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
LIP
2 - 2
RWA
53%
20%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RWA
1 - 3
BOC
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TVC
2 - 1
SFB
39%
23%
39%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 2
TUS
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SFB
0 - 3
LIP
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BOC
4 - 1
SFB
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SFB
0 - 2
GIE
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |