Rot Weiss Ahlen vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
4 - 2
RWA
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BER
4 - 1
RWA
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 1
VIK
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 1
RWA
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
1 - 3
WER
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
VEL
42%
23%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIK
1 - 0
MSV
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 0
WER
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 0
MSV
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 3
SPO
47%
23%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |