Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SVS
0 - 1
ERF
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ERF
4 - 2
OSN
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KÖL
1 - 3
ERF
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
ERF
0 - 2
KOL
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ERF
0 - 2
CHE
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 1
WUR
45%
29%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STU
1 - 1
VFR
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 1
SGS
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PRE
0 - 2
VFR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 0
SGD
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -2 |