Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Union Berlin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SED
3 - 3
ERF
46%
22%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
ERF
6 - 0
ABS
45%
22%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 1
ERF
50%
21%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1950 |
ERF
2 - 1
BAB
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
SVD
2 - 3
ERF
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
ZWI
2 - 0
UNI
83%
11%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
UNI
1 - 1
CHL
16%
20%
65%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
SED
4 - 0
UNI
83%
11%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
BEP
2 - 3
UNI
80%
12%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
SGD
5 - 0
UNI
79%
12%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |