Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Grimma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FCH
1 - 2
ERF
32%
22%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 1
ERF
43%
24%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
GER
3 - 1
ERF
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ERF
2 - 1
VFL
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ERF
0 - 0
OBE
74%
15%
10%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SVG
0 - 3
CHL
26%
24%
51%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SVG
2 - 6
EIL
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
SVG
1 - 8
LOK
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
SVG
0 - 10
HAL
7%
13%
80%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
OBE
2 - 1
SVG
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |