Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Grimma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
ERF
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
ERF
3 - 3
HES
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
ENM
0 - 9
ERF
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
LOK
2 - 1
ERF
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ERF
1 - 0
VIK
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
SVG
2 - 2
FCM
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
SVG
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
OBE
8 - 1
SVG
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SVG
2 - 1
ILE
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
LOK
5 - 3
SVG
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |