Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
F95
3 - 2
ERF
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
ERF
1 - 2
OSN
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
RWA
2 - 2
ERF
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
ERF
1 - 0
BOR
70%
20%
11%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
ERF
0 - 1
ROT
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SGD
0 - 0
F95
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
OSN
3 - 1
SGD
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SGD
2 - 1
RWA
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 2
SGD
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
SGD
4 - 1
HOL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |