Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
WAC
1 - 1
ERF
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
ERF
0 - 2
COT
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
HZE
0 - 0
ERF
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
ERF
1 - 1
BIS
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
SGD
1 - 0
COT
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1995 |
SGD
2 - 2
STA
70%
21%
9%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SGD
4 - 0
SSV
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
LAS
0 - 1
SGD
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
SGD
1 - 0
FSV
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |