Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
FCU
2 - 1
ERF
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
ERF
1 - 2
LOK
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
BWA
1 - 0
ERF
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
HAL
3 - 2
ERF
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
ERF
3 - 0
HAL
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
SGD
3 - 0
HAL
80%
13%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
ZWI
0 - 1
SGD
15%
25%
61%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SGD
3 - 0
CZJ
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
FVF
0 - 3
SGD
17%
25%
58%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
CZJ
1 - 3
SGD
41%
26%
33%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |