Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1953 |
BWA
3 - 2
ERF
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ERF
5 - 2
ZWI
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
SVD
2 - 5
ERF
52%
22%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ERF
3 - 0
SAC
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
BSS
2 - 2
ERF
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1953 |
SGD
0 - 3
SAC
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
BSS
3 - 0
SGD
38%
23%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
SGD
1 - 1
SED
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ABS
3 - 5
SGD
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
SGD
0 - 0
BEL
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |