Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ERF
3 - 2
HAL
48%
24%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
ERF
1 - 0
SVL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SVD
1 - 1
ERF
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
ERF
3 - 0
52%
21%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
SGD
1 - 0
ERF
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
SGD
0 - 1
CHL
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 1
SGD
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
SVL
1 - 1
SGD
35%
23%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
BWA
1 - 1
SGD
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SGD
0 - 0
ABS
52%
20%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |