Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ERF
2 - 1
EBT
27%
22%
51%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
ERF
1 - 0
NUR
51%
21%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ERF
2 - 9
SGB
57%
20%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
ERF
1 - 2
AAA
39%
24%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ERF
2 - 1
SCH
42%
22%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
LUC
3 - 0
HAN
31%
22%
47%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
LUC
3 - 0
NEU
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
OPT
2 - 3
LUC
17%
20%
63%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
LUC
3 - 1
TEN
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SVS
2 - 5
LUC
39%
22%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |