Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
WUP
1 - 0
ERF
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
ERF
0 - 0
ROT
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
F95
3 - 2
ERF
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BSV
0 - 0
ERF
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
HAM
3 - 0
ERF
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
F95
2 - 2
LUB
33%
26%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
LUB
2 - 1
STP
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
DIE
1 - 3
LUB
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
LUB
2 - 0
WER
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
HAM
2 - 1
LUB
17%
24%
59%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |