Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
ERF
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ERF
2 - 1
WER
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 1
ERF
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ERF
3 - 0
MAI
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ERF
0 - 1
ERZ
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KÖL
0 - 3
WUR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
STU
3 - 0
KÖL
36%
26%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
KÖL
2 - 2
SGS
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PRE
3 - 1
KÖL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KÖL
1 - 5
SGD
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |