Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis


56	ELO	55
11.8%	Tilt	-3.6%
2376º	General ELO ranking	2010º
98º	Country ELO ranking	82º
ELO win probability

47%

Rot-Weiss Erfurt

23.2%

Draw

29.8%

FC Carl Zeiss Jena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

47.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%

23.2%

Draw

0-0

4.3%

1-1

10.5%

2-2

6.4%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

23.2%

29.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+13%

-4%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

39

1º

13º

53

7º

15º

7º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

7º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	71	71	1º	100%
2º	68	68	2º	100%
3º	63	63	3º	100%
4º	61	61	4º	100%
5º	56	56	5º	100%
6º	53	53	6º	0%
7º	53	53	7º	0%
8º	50	50	8º	100%
9º	45	45	9º	100%
10º	43	43	10º	100%
11º	41	41	11º	100%
12º	41	41	12º	100%
13º	39	39	13º	100%
14º	38	38	14º	100%
15º	37	37	15º	100%
16º	36	36	16º	100%
17º	28	28	17º	100%
18º	19	19	18º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rot-Weiss Erfurt

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
23 Sep. 2023	EIL 0 - 0 ERF 13% 21% 66%	56	41	15	0
16 Sep. 2023	ERF 1 - 2 MEU 77% 15% 8%	57	42	15	-1
31 Aug. 2023	ALT 1 - 1 ERF 46% 24% 30%	57	54	3	0
27 Aug. 2023	ERF 4 - 1 ZWI 42% 24% 34%	56	56	0	+1
19 Aug. 2023	BAK 0 - 4 ERF 18% 22% 61%	55	41	14	+1

Matches

FC Carl Zeiss Jena

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
23 Sep. 2023	CZJ 1 - 2 VIK 54% 25% 21%	56	51	5	0
16 Sep. 2023	HER 1 - 1 CZJ 42% 24% 35%	56	56	0	0
02 Sep. 2023	CZJ 3 - 0 LUC 61% 23% 17%	55	47	8	+1
25 Aug. 2023	BFC 2 - 1 CZJ 41% 24% 35%	56	56	0	-1
20 Aug. 2023	CZJ 2 - 3 LOK 48% 25% 27%	56	53	3	0