Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1971 |
SGD
3 - 0
ERF
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
ERF
3 - 2
ZWI
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
VOW
1 - 0
ERF
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
ERF
1 - 1
CHL
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1971 |
HAL
6 - 1
ERF
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1971 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BWA
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
ROS
1 - 0
CZJ
28%
28%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
CZJ
4 - 0
FCU
79%
14%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
BFC
2 - 1
CZJ
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1971 |
CZJ
1 - 0
LOK
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |