Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
BAB
3 - 1
ERF
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ERF
0 - 4
UNI
72%
17%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 1
ERF
26%
25%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ERF
2 - 2
VIK
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MEU
1 - 2
ERF
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
BFC
0 - 4
ALT
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 0
BAB
33%
25%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 3
BFC
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
WAC
2 - 1
BFC
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
BFC
1 - 4
BIS
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |