Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
WAC
1 - 2
ERF
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
ERF
0 - 0
COT
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
FCU
0 - 2
ERF
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
ERF
0 - 0
HZE
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
TEN
2 - 3
ERF
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
SGD
0 - 0
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
SAC
0 - 1
BFC
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
BFC
0 - 1
CHE
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
ERZ
3 - 1
BFC
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
BFC
0 - 0
LAS
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |