Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
HER
1 - 2
ERF
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
LAS
0 - 1
ERF
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1996 |
ERF
0 - 1
TEN
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
ERF
3 - 2
SAC
49%
25%
25%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
REI
0 - 0
ERF
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
SSV
1 - 1
BFC
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
BFC
0 - 3
SAC
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1996 |
TEN
2 - 0
BFC
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
FSV
3 - 1
BFC
29%
23%
48%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
BFC
2 - 0
OPT
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |