Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
HAL
0 - 3
ERF
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 1
CZJ
41%
25%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
LAS
2 - 1
ERF
39%
24%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
ERF
3 - 3
BWA
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SED
0 - 2
ERF
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
LAS
3 - 1
BFC
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
BFC
0 - 2
HAL
67%
18%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1961 |
VOW
3 - 0
BFC
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
MAG
0 - 1
BFC
46%
23%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
BFC
1 - 1
LOK
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |