Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
EIN
2 - 0
ERF
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
ERF
0 - 3
ERZ
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
UNT
4 - 0
ERF
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 1
RWA
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SGF
2 - 0
ERF
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
3 - 1
SAA
69%
19%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 0
LIL
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 4
AAA
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
5 - 1
SGD
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
AAA
0 - 0
FHH
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |