Europa League 1/16
Global 1-5
Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1991 |
DAR
1 - 0
ERF
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
ERF
3 - 3
HOM
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
HAL
4 - 1
ERF
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
ERF
1 - 0
GRO
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
CHE
2 - 1
ERF
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
PSV
3 - 2
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
ORE
0 - 1
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
AJA
3 - 1
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
AJA
5 - 1
GRA
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |