Rostocker FC vs Union Fürstenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
15º
15º
8
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIC
5 - 2
RFC
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 2
ANK
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OPT
6 - 0
RFC
28%
21%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -3 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 2
DSC
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TAS
4 - 0
RFC
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 5
RSV
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 1
UNI
27%
20%
53%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LIC
2 - 0
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
ANK
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OPT
4 - 1
UNI
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |