Rostocker FC vs Optik Rathenow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-98%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
15º
15º
34
2º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DSC
2 - 1
RFC
38%
22%
41%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 1
TAS
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HZE
7 - 0
RFC
82%
12%
5%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
4 - 5
TUM
26%
22%
53%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
RFC
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OPT
3 - 0
RSV
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
DSC
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
OPT
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
LIC
10%
17%
74%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ANK
0 - 3
OPT
55%
21%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |