Roskilde vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
HVI
1 - 1
ROS
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ROS
0 - 4
B93
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ABK
2 - 5
ROS
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
BRO
1 - 1
ROS
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ROS
2 - 0
FCK
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
AGF
2 - 0
BRA
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
BFR
1 - 4
AGF
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
AGF
4 - 1
LYN
45%
23%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
AGF
1 - 2
KBK
47%
23%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
THI
2 - 2
AGF
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |