Rosengård vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
8º
1º
37
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
66.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
33.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosengård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
ROS
36%
23%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 1
KRI
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 1
FBK
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
ROS
15%
18%
68%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 0
MAL
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 0
IFK
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SIM
0 - 5
OLY
12%
15%
73%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
VMA
0 - 3
SIM
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 2
RAP
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 3
SIM
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |