Rosenborg II vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
11º
8º
38
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
ROS
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
RFK
20%
18%
62%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
STR
8 - 2
ROS
81%
12%
8%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
STB
6 - 2
ROS
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 3
FBG
62%
18%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 5
BYA
16%
18%
67%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 1
LIL
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LIL
4 - 2
GRO
67%
17%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GIF
2 - 0
LIL
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 3
SAN
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |