Rosenborg BK vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
5º
31
2º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11% | 24% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
30% | 38.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
RBK
5 - 0
BAN
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
S08
2 - 2
RBK
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
RBK
2 - 0
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 0
RBK
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RBK
1 - 1
VKG
34%
25%
42%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 1
BRY
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
STR
2 - 3
TRO
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 0
MFK
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
FFK
0 - 1
TRO
39%
27%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
HAM
1 - 3
TRO
32%
27%
42%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |