UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 2-0
Rosenborg BK vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
RBK
1 - 1
ODD
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
LIN
0 - 0
RBK
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
LSK
1 - 2
RBK
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
SDF
1 - 4
RBK
22%
24%
53%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
RBK
1 - 0
SDF
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
LIN
0 - 0
RBK
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CRU
0 - 0
LIN
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |