Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 9-3
Rosenborg BK vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
RBK
1 - 0
LSK
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 2
RBK
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
VKG
0 - 0
RBK
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
RBK
1 - 0
STR
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
RBK
2 - 1
TRO
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 2
RBK
26%
23%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 0
CLI
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 1
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |