Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 4-0
Rosenborg BK vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
RBK
1 - 0
MFK
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 3
RBK
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VKG
1 - 4
RBK
25%
25%
49%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
MFK
4 - 3
RBK
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
RBK
3 - 3
STR
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 3
RBK
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 4
LIN
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIN
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |