Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 4-2
Rosenborg BK vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
RBK
0 - 1
HAU
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
0 - 1
RBK
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MFK
1 - 2
RBK
38%
24%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
JER
1 - 2
RBK
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
RBK
4 - 1
KRI
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
0 - 1
RBK
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
60%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 3
HUL
75%
16%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |