Rosario Central II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
1 - 4
ROC
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
ROC
0 - 0
GLP
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 0
ROC
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ROC
2 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
NOB
1 - 0
ROC
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
VEL
3 - 0
RST
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 1
VEL
14%
20%
67%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 0
SMS
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 4
VEL
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
VEL
1 - 1
GOC
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |