Rosario Central II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
ROC
34%
24%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 2
ROC
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
QUI
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 1
ROC
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
GLP
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
PAT
72%
16%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 3
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 0
COL
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 1
VEL
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
ARG
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |