Rosario Central II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
GOC
0 - 2
ROC
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ROC
3 - 1
LAN
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
ROC
22%
24%
54%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 0
TIG
51%
24%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ARG
3 - 1
ROC
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
COL
41%
25%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
BRC
0 - 0
SAR
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
ACC
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |