Rosario Central II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 2
ROC
12%
19%
70%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 1
BAN
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COL
4 - 3
ROC
15%
21%
65%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 0
RIV
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
NOB
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 3
GOC
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 1
SAR
51%
23%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
GLP
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |