Roncalli vs Olimpia Calcio 2002 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roncalli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
RON
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UBO
1 - 1
RON
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RON
0 - 1
BUS
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
RON
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RON
1 - 1
MAS
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia Calcio 2002
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
OLI
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 1
OLI
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 1
ALC
37%
24%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
OLI
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
OLI
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |