Roncalli vs Mozzate Calcio 1923 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roncalli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
RON
3 - 1
ALC
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
RON
9%
16%
74%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
RON
0 - 1
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RON
1 - 2
TRA
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
RON
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mozzate Calcio 1923
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MOZ
2 - 3
UNI
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 0
MOZ
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
MOZ
2 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 4
RHO
13%
20%
67%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
MOZ
82%
13%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |