Roncalli vs Gavirate Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roncalli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
RON
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RON
0 - 3
UBO
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BUS
0 - 2
RON
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RON
2 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAS
1 - 0
RON
32%
23%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gavirate Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAV
6 - 2
UBO
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 1
GAV
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GAV
0 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 1
GAV
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GAV
1 - 1
MOZ
83%
12%
6%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |