Romulus vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 1
ROM
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 3
GRA
13%
21%
66%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 0
ROM
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COA
4 - 2
ROM
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
LEE
3 - 0
ROM
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 4
STA
14%
21%
66%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ILK
5 - 0
SHE
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
2 - 3
BRI
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
7 - 1
SHE
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
SHE
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |