Romulus vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 2
LEE
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 1
ROM
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
RAI
3 - 5
ROM
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
ROM
1 - 0
KID
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
4 - 1
ROM
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
6 - 0
SHE
49%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
LOU
5 - 1
SHE
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 1
BAR
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
STA
1 - 1
SHE
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SHE
3 - 1
RAI
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |