Romulus vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 2
SPA
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LEE
2 - 2
ROM
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
ROM
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 3
LIN
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 2
ROM
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 2
GRE
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 3
SLA
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
BED
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 0
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 1
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |