Romulus vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MIC
2 - 1
ROM
72%
16%
11%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 1
ROM
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 1
BEL
23%
23%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 1
BED
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 4
ROM
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
GRE
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
SHE
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
GRE
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
GOO
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
LOU
4 - 3
GRE
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |