Romulus vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 2
KIN
12%
21%
67%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ROM
0 - 2
STA
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RAI
2 - 1
ROM
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 2
NOR
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 2
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
MIC
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
KIN
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HAL
4 - 2
GRE
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
LEE
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |