FA Trophy 1/256
Global 5-4
Romulus vs Garforth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ROM
3 - 0
BED
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ROM
3 - 2
LOU
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
DUN
3 - 2
ROM
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ROM
0 - 1
AYL
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
CHA
3 - 0
ROM
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Garforth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
WOS
0 - 0
GAR
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
GAR
2 - 2
HAL
27%
25%
49%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
GAR
2 - 0
BEL
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MOS
3 - 4
GAR
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
GAR
0 - 3
DUR
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |