Romulus vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WUL
2 - 0
ROM
25%
22%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ROM
4 - 0
MAR
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SLA
3 - 0
ROM
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
RFC
2 - 2
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 1
SPA
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
EVE
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
DAV
1 - 0
CHA
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
KID
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LEE
0 - 1
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |