Roma vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 0
ROM
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 2
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VER
1 - 3
ROM
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ROM
1 - 0
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAG
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAM
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
BOL
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
JUV
4 - 2
SAM
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 0
UDI
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |