Roma vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
TRE
2 - 0
ROM
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
ROM
1 - 0
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
PIS
2 - 0
ROM
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
ROM
1 - 0
VIC
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
FAN
1 - 1
ROM
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
MOD
3 - 1
JUS
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 1
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
SIR
1 - 1
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
MOD
0 - 0
SAL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
MOD
0 - 2
VIC
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |